928-776-1031 steve@schottfm.com

News from Schott Financial Management

The Three I’s for 2022

May 12, 2021

Looking ahead to the year 2022, especially with the mid-term elections, I have a few predictions I wanted to share that will address paying for the enormous flows of cash into our economic system. I call them the Three I’s.

Interest Rates: the Federal Reserve has been very clear that interest rates will remain at virtually zero for 2021. I think we will see a similar policy in 2022; however, rates will slowly climb in anticipation of increased rates in 2023.

Increase in Taxes: taxes will go up to pay for Covid-related stimulus and infrastructure. My best estimate is that the corporate tax rate will increase from 20% to 28% and the top tax bracket will rise from 37% to 39.6%. Unknown changes are possible in capital gains, estate tax and step up provisions.

Inflation: emerging from the pandemic, with pent-up demand and large amounts of cash pushed into our economic system should mean a moderate increase in inflation.

For most clients, a rise in interest rates will give us more investment options. Inflation and taxes are yet to be determined.

Securities offered through Registered Representatives of Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a broker-dealer, member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Adviser.”